Indian Motorcycles Market in 2025 runs for a new record. After ending the first half with sales down 3.2% sales increased 6.1% in the Q3 and were outstanding in October, with a +14.6% increase. TVS Motor is gaining terrain.
Data reported for India regards wholesales and not – as for all the other countries – registrations. The perimeter of data covered includes motorcycles, moped, scooter, and ATV, both on ICE and electric engines. In addition, data includes the commercial three wheeler, very popular in the country.
Economic Outlook
India’s economy is forecast to expand 6.6% in 2025, mainly driven by strong public investment and resilient private consumption. Although subdued external demand will continue to weigh on merchandise export growth, pharmaceuticals and chemicals exports are expected to expand strongly.
Goldman Sachs Research expects the Indian economy to be relatively insulated against global shocks over the coming year — including tariffs levied by the new administration of US President-elect Donald Trump. India’s GDP will keep growing strongly in the long term — but with a speed bump next year as government spending and credit growth slow, according to our economists’ forecast.
“The structural long-term growth story for India remains intact driven by favorable demographics and stable governance,” Santanu Sengupta, chief India economist at Goldman Sachs Research, writes in his team’s report.
Our economists expect India’s economy to grow at an average of 6.5% between 2025 and 2030. Their 6.3% forecast for 2025 is 40 basis points below a consensus of economists surveyed by Bloomberg.
The decelerated growth rate is, in part, because public capital expenditure growth is declining. The Indian central government’s capex growth declined from 30% year-on-year CAGR between 2021 and 2024 to mid-single digits growth in nominal terms in 2025, according to budget estimates.
Motorcycles Industry Trend and Perspectives
In such positive environment, the two-wheeler industry is marking the pace this year, after the record growth reported in a memorable 2024, hitting the new all-time record and the highest level ever achieved by a single market in the world, with 20.5 million sales (+16.6%). A very outstanding speed for the largest market in the world.
This year the story is different and the market is more selective, with a stable consumer demand and increased competition among top players.
After ending the first half with sales down 3.2% year on year, the consumer demand increased in the Q3, with sales up 6.1% and was outstanding in October, with a +14.6% increase. Year to date October sales have been 17.5 million (+4.4%).
Although incentives to the electric vehicles models have been reduced and several EVs startups are financially struggling, the EVs segment keeps growing (+8.0%) with high demand for models proposed by the Big 5 Indian companies.
Market Leaders and Performance
The big fact of this start of the year was the battle for the leadership, after the progress made by Honda which is challenging the ultra-decade Hero leadership. However, Hero seems able to defend the place, at least for this year, with sales declined 2.5% this year, compared with Honda 0.8% lost.
In third place TVS Motor (+18.2%) has a wide gap over the follower, Bajaj Auto (-7.3%) and Suzuki (+8.6%) which in March scored the record month ever.
Behind Royal Enfield (+24.9%), which celebrated the record of over 1 million sales in the last fiscal year (April 2024-March 2025), and Yamaha (-9.6%).